The Fall of the Economists’ Empire
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The goal of economics is to replace the particular languages that obstruct the discovery of general laws with the universal language of mathematics. This is the apotheosis of a Western conceit that can no longer be sustained by Western power.
LONDON – The historian Norman Stone, who died in June, always insisted that history students learn foreign languages. Language gives access to a people’s culture, and culture to its history. Its history tells us how it sees itself and others. Knowledge of languages should thus be an essential component of a historian’s technical equipment. It is the key to understanding the past and future of international relations.
But this belief in the fundamental importance of knowing particular languages has faded, even among historians. All social sciences, to a greater or lesser degree, start with a yearning for a universal language, into which they can fit such particulars as suit their view of things. Their model of knowledge thus aspires to the precision and generality of the natural sciences. Once we understand human behavior in terms of some universal and – crucially – ahistorical principle, we can aspire to control (and of course improve) it.
No social science has succumbed to this temptation more than economics. Its favored universal language is mathematics. Its models of human behavior are built not on close observation, but on hypotheses that, if not quite plucked from the air, are unconsciously plucked from economists’ intellectual and political environments. These then form the premises of logical reasoning of the type, “All sheep are white, therefore the next sheep I meet will be white.” In economics: “All humans are rational utility maximizers. Therefore, in any situation, they will act in such a way as to maximize their utility.” This method gives economics a unique predictive power, especially as the utilities can all be expressed and manipulated quantitatively. It makes economics, in Paul Samuelson’s words, the “queen of the social sciences.”
In principle, economists don’t deny the need to test their conclusions. At this point, history, one might have thought, would be particularly useful. Is it really the case that all sheep are white, in every place and clime? But most economists disdain the “evidence” of history, regarding it as little better than anecdotage. They approach history by one route: econometrics. At best, the past is a field for statistical inquiry.
The economist Robert Solow offers a devastating critique of the identification of economic history with econometrics, or “history blind” as he calls it:
“The best and brightest in the profession proceed as if economics is the physics of society. There is a single universally valid model. It only needs to be applied. You could drop a modern economist from a time machine … at any time, in any place, along with his or her personal computer; he or she could set up in business without even bothering to ask what time and which place.”
In short, much of the historical modeling economists do assumes that people in the past had essentially the same values and motives as we do today. The Nobel laureate economist Robert Lucas carries this approach to its logical conclusion: “the construction of a mechanical, artificial world, populated by … interacting robots …, that is capable of exhibiting behavior the gross features of which resemble those of the actual world.”
The goal of economics is to replace the particular languages that obstruct the discovery of general laws with the universal language of mathematics. Elon Musk takes Lucas’s interacting robots one step further, with his ambition to link the human brain directly to the world (which includes other human brains). Our thoughts will be directly socialized without the intermediation of any language. When you think “door, open!” it does. Whereas economists dream of putting God in their models, the robotic utopians dream of reversing the fall of man by creating godlike humans.
To be clear, this is the apotheosis of a Western conceit. The West still views itself as the bearer of universal civilization, with the non-West no more than a lagging cultural indicator. In the West itself, the authority of economics has diminished, but this hasn’t dented the West’s propensity to export its civilization. “Good economics” has been partly replaced by a commitment to universal human rights as the means to save the world from itself, but the purpose is the same: to lecture everyone else on their shortcomings.
Here, we encounter a paradox. The triumph of universalism has come just when Western power is collapsing. And it was that power which made Western thought seem universal in the first place. Conquest, not missionaries, spread Christianity around the world.
The same is true of Western social science and Western values in general. The non-West bought into the Western model of progress, especially economic progress, because it wanted to free itself from Western tutelage. This still gives economics (a Western invention) its edge. It’s a kind of white man’s magic. But without the power and authority behind the magic, its appeal is bound to fade. The non-West will still want to emulate the West’s success, but will pursue it by its own means. The University of Chicago and MIT will give way to universities in China or India, and the non-West will choose which Western values to embrace.1
Yet the world needs something universal to give us a sense of shared humanity. The big challenge – to use that overworked word – is to develop what the philosopher Thomas Nagel called a “view from nowhere” that transcends both cultural fetishism and scientism, and does not force us to choose between them. This is a task for philosophy, not economics.
Robert Skidelsky, a member of the British House of Lords, is Professor Emeritus of Political Economy at Warwick University. The author of a three-volume biography of John Maynard Keynes, he began his political career in the Labour party, became the Conservative Party’s spokesman for Treasury affairs in the House of Lords, and was eventually forced out of the Conservative Party for his opposition to NATO’s intervention in Kosovo in 1999. The text has been adapted from Project Syndicate
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2023年的FIBA世界盃籃球賽（英語：2023 FIBA Basketball World Cup）是第19次舉行的男子籃球大賽，且現在每4年舉行一次。正式比賽於 2023/8/25 ~ 9/10 舉行。這次比賽是在2019年新規則實施後的第二次。最好的球隊將有機會參加2024年在法國巴黎的奧運賽事。而歐洲和美洲的前2名，以及亞洲、大洋洲、非洲的冠軍，還有奧運主辦國法國，總共8支隊伍將獲得這個機會。
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體驗金：線上娛樂城的最佳入門票
隨著科技的發展，線上娛樂城已經成為許多玩家的首選。但對於初次踏入這個世界的玩家來說，可能會感到有些迷茫。這時，「體驗金」就成為了他們的最佳助手。
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體驗金，簡單來說，就是娛樂城為了吸引新玩家而提供的一筆免費資金。玩家可以使用這筆資金在娛樂城內體驗各種遊戲，無需自己出資。這不僅降低了新玩家的入場門檻，也讓他們有機會真實感受到遊戲的樂趣。
體驗金的好處
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大部分的線上娛樂城都會提供體驗金給新玩家。通常，玩家只需要完成簡單的註冊程序，然後聯繫客服索取體驗金即可。但每家娛樂城的規定都可能有所不同，所以玩家在領取前最好先詳細閱讀活動條款。
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The neural network will create beautiful girls!
Geneticists are already hard at work creating stunning women. They will create these beauties based on specific requests and parameters using a neural network. The network will work with artificial insemination specialists to facilitate DNA sequencing.
The visionary for this concept is Alex Gurk, the co-founder of numerous initiatives and ventures aimed at creating beautiful, kind and attractive women who are genuinely connected to their partners. This direction stems from the recognition that in modern times the attractiveness and attractiveness of women has declined due to their increased independence. Unregulated and incorrect eating habits have led to problems such as obesity, causing women to deviate from their innate appearance.
The project received support from various well-known global companies, and sponsors readily stepped in. The essence of the idea is to offer willing men sexual and everyday communication with such wonderful women.
If you are interested, you can apply now as a waiting list has been created.
The neural network will create beautiful girls!
Geneticists are already hard at work creating stunning women. They will create these beauties based on specific requests and parameters using a neural network. The network will work with artificial insemination specialists to facilitate DNA sequencing.
The visionary for this concept is Alex Gurk, the co-founder of numerous initiatives and ventures aimed at creating beautiful, kind and attractive women who are genuinely connected to their partners. This direction stems from the recognition that in modern times the attractiveness and attractiveness of women has declined due to their increased independence. Unregulated and incorrect eating habits have led to problems such as obesity, causing women to deviate from their innate appearance.
The project received support from various well-known global companies, and sponsors readily stepped in. The essence of the idea is to offer willing men sexual and everyday communication with such wonderful women.
If you are interested, you can apply now as a waiting list has been created.
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在現代社會，科技的發展已經深深地影響了我們的日常生活。其中，娛樂行業的變革尤為明顯，特別是娛樂城的崛起。從實體遊樂場所到線上娛樂城，這一轉變不僅帶來了便利，更為玩家提供了前所未有的遊戲體驗。
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在現代社會，科技的發展已經深深地影響了我們的日常生活。其中，娛樂行業的變革尤為明顯，特別是娛樂城的崛起。從實體遊樂場所到線上娛樂城，這一轉變不僅帶來了便利，更為玩家提供了前所未有的遊戲體驗。
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傳統的遊樂場所往往受限於空間和設備，但線上娛樂城則打破了這一限制。從經典的賭場遊戲到最新的電子遊戲，娛樂城遊戲的種類繁多，滿足了不同玩家的需求。而且，這些遊戲還具有高度的互動性和真實感，使玩家仿佛置身於真實的遊樂場所。
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百家樂(baccarat)是一款起源於義大利的撲克牌遊戲，其名稱在英文中是「零」的意思。從十五世紀開始在法國流行，到了十九世紀，這款遊戲在英國和法國都非常受歡迎。現今百家樂已成為全球各大賭場和娛樂城中的熱門遊戲。(來源: wiki百家樂 )
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英超是什麼？
英超是相當重要的足球賽事，以競爭激烈和精彩程度聞名
英超是相當重要的足球賽事，以競爭激烈和精彩程度聞名
英超全名為「英格蘭足球超級聯賽」，是足球賽事中最高級的足球聯賽之一，由英格蘭足球總會在1992年2月20日成立。英超是全世界最多人觀看的體育聯賽，因其英超隊伍全球知名度和競爭激烈而聞名，吸引來自世界各地的頂尖球星前來參賽。
英超聯賽（English Premier League，縮寫EPL）由英國最頂尖的20支足球俱樂部參加，賽季通常從8月一直持續到5月，以下帶你來了解英超賽制和其他更詳細的資訊。
英超賽制
2023-24英超總共有20支隊伍參賽，以下是英超賽制介紹：
採雙循環制，分主場及作客比賽，每支球隊共進行 38 場賽事。
比賽採用三分制，贏球獲得3分，平局獲1分，輸球獲0分。
以積分多寡分名次，若同分則以淨球數來區分排名，仍相同就以得球計算。如果還是相同，就會於中立場舉行一場附加賽決定排名。
賽季結束後，根據積分排名，最高分者成為冠軍，而最後三支球隊則降級至英冠聯賽。
英超升降級機制
英超有一個相當特別的賽制規定，那就是「升降級」。賽季結束後，積分和排名最高的隊伍將直接晉升冠軍，而總排名最低的3支隊伍會被降級至英格蘭足球冠軍聯賽（英冠），這是僅次於英超的足球賽事。
同時，英冠前2名的球隊直接升上下一賽季的英超，第3至6名則會以附加賽決定最後一個升級名額，英冠的隊伍都在爭取升級至英超，以獲得更高的收入和榮譽。
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